Reform UK - Health tax
Offer private healthcare tax relief
Give 20% tax relief on private healthcare and insurance, with NHS-demand savings unproven.
Last updated: May 2026.
Market baseline
Reform's 2024 Contract proposed 20% tax relief on private healthcare and insurance. ABI data show private medical insurance and claims are growing.
- Tax relief rate is 20%.
- Private medical insurance coverage is rising.
- NHS substitution is uncertain.
Core trade-offs
Insured households and private providers gain from a subsidy. The Exchequer loses revenue, and relief may subsidise care that would have happened anyway.
- Private patients and insurers gain.
- Treasury funds the tax relief.
- NHS savings are uncertain.
Illustrative fiscal impact
+GBP 1.0bn to +GBP 8.0bn. Central estimate: +GBP 3.5bn.
- Positive numbers mean public-finance pressure; negative numbers mean Exchequer savings.
- 20% relief is the main scale marker.
- Gross costs and receipt offsets are separated in methodology.
- Behaviour and pass-through widen the range.
- This is not an official costing.
Economic impact by 2027-28
- Jobs: Private healthcare hiring rises, potentially drawing staff from the NHS.
- Wages: Private-sector health wages may rise if capacity is constrained.
- Prices: Private insurance and treatment prices may increase with subsidised demand.
- GDP / productivity: May raise measured private activity, but NHS productivity gains are uncertain.
Assessment
The policy may expand private cover, but a subsidy is likely to pay for some care that would have happened anyway. If private capacity is constrained, prices and staff competition can rise. Any NHS benefit depends on genuine substitution away from publicly funded treatment.
Confidence: Low. The relief rate is clear, but eligible spending, uptake and NHS substitution are not specified.
Main risks
- Deadweight cost: Tax relief may subsidise existing private spending rather than new NHS substitution.
- Staff diversion: Private expansion may bid clinicians away from NHS work.
- Price inflation: Subsidised demand can raise premiums and treatment prices if capacity is tight.
Safeguards
- Restrict relief to treatments replacing NHS waits.
- Monitor NHS staff movement to private providers.
- Cap eligible claims and publish uptake data.
Academic evidence
Besley, Hall and Preston, Journal of Public Economics, 1999
Private insurance and waiting lists
Longer NHS waiting lists were associated with higher private health insurance purchases.
Relevant to whether tax relief may shift demand into private cover.
The Demand for Private Health Insurance: Do Waiting Lists Matter? (1999)
Gruber and Lettau, Journal of Public Economics, 2004
Firm demand for health insurance
Employer health-insurance demand responds to tax prices and firm characteristics.
Supports behavioural response, but from a different health system.
UK government evidence
NHS Digital, 2025
NHS workforce statistics
NHS England HCHS staff numbered about 1.54 million headcount in August 2025.
Anchors tax-relief exposure.
Skills for Care, 2025
Social-care workforce
Adult social care in England had about 1.60 million filled posts in 2024-25.
Anchors care-worker exposure.
Sources
- PolicyLens illustrative scenario methodology: Offer private healthcare tax relief Internal - PolicyLens, 2026
- Firm demand for health insurance Academic article - Gruber and Lettau, Journal of Public Economics, 2004
- NHS Workforce Statistics, August 2025 Official statistics - NHS Digital, 2025
- State of the adult social care workforce 2025 Workforce report - Skills for Care, 2025
- Private health insurance claims and coverage Industry statistics - Association of British Insurers, 2026
- Our Contract with You Party policy document - Reform UK, 2024
- The Demand for Private Health Insurance: Do Waiting Lists Matter? Academic article - Besley, Hall and Preston, Journal of Public Economics, 1999
- Our Policies Party policy source - Reform UK, 2026
Other Reform UK policies
PolicyLens estimates are illustrative and not official costings.