PolicyLens

Green - Labour market

Raise statutory holiday to 35 days

Increase minimum paid annual leave from 28 to 35 days including bank holidays.

Last updated: May 2026.

Read the policy-specific methodology note

Current floor

Most five-day workers currently receive at least 28 days paid annual leave. The policy raises the floor to 35 days.

  • The rise is seven paid days.
  • That is about 2.7% of working days.
  • Many higher-paid workers already exceed the floor.

Core trade-offs

Workers gain paid time off. Employers pay for more non-working time or cover. Output is likely lower unless productivity rises enough to offset fewer hours.

  • Workers gain leisure and pay.
  • Employers fund cover or downtime.
  • Output risk is direct.

Illustrative fiscal impact

+GBP 1.0bn to +GBP 15.0bn. Central estimate: +GBP 5.0bn.

  • Positive numbers mean public-finance pressure; negative numbers mean Exchequer savings.
  • Gross costs are separated from tax, NI and benefit offsets.
  • Private business costs are not automatically fiscal costs.
  • Behavioural responses widen the range materially.
  • This is not an official costing.

Economic impact by 2027-28

  • Jobs: Some cover jobs may rise, but total hours worked likely fall.
  • Wages: Raises paid non-work time for workers near the statutory floor.
  • Prices: Labour-intensive services likely pass some costs into prices.
  • GDP / productivity: Likely negative unless productivity offsets a 2.7% statutory-hours reduction.

Assessment

This is one of the clearest policies where worker welfare can rise while measured output falls. More paid leave is valuable to workers, but the lost working time has to be absorbed through cover, higher productivity, lower output or higher prices.

Confidence: Medium-low. The statutory change is clear; affected counts and productivity offsets are uncertain.

Main risks

  • Hours loss: Seven extra paid days reduces available working time for covered workers.
  • Cover costs: Hospitals, schools, care and local services may need paid cover.
  • Small-firm pressure: Small employers have less ability to smooth absences.

Safeguards

  • Phase by firm size.
  • Monitor total hours, not only jobs.
  • Fund public-service cover explicitly.

Academic evidence

Autor, Kerr and Kugler, Economic Journal, 2007

Does Employment Protection Reduce Productivity?

Employment-protection changes can reduce productivity where firms face higher firing and adjustment costs.

Supports caution on policies that raise dismissal, scheduling or adjustment costs.

Does Employment Protection Reduce Productivity? (2007)

UK government evidence

GOV.UK, 2026

Holiday entitlement

Most five-day workers are entitled to 28 days paid annual leave, equal to 5.6 weeks.

Defines the baseline for a 35-day holiday floor.

Holiday entitlement (2026)

HM Treasury, 2025

Whole of Government Accounts 2023-24

Whole of Government Accounts report GBP 240.5bn staff costs and GBP 263.7bn purchases in 2023-24.

Anchors paybill and procurement exposure.

Whole of Government Accounts 2023-24 (2025)

Department for Business and Trade, 2026

Employment Rights Act 2025 - Economic Analysis

The ERA economic analysis estimates around GBP 1bn annual direct business cost before social-care bargaining.

Provides official baseline costs and affected groups.

Employment Rights Act 2025 - Economic Analysis (2026)

Sources

Other Green policies

PolicyLens estimates are illustrative and not official costings.