Methodology note
Cap organisation pay ratios at 10:1: calculation note
Scenario estimate showing gross costs, offsets and behavioural uncertainty; not an official costing.
Central fiscal result
+£1.2bn - Net public-finance impact in 2027-28
Low case: -£0.5bn. High case: +£5.0bn. Positive numbers are fiscal costs or borrowing pressure. Negative numbers are Exchequer savings or receipts.
Scenario and baseline
- Limit highest total remuneration to ten times the lowest full-time-equivalent pay in each organisation.
- Baseline is current law and published official data unless stated.
- Private business costs are excluded unless they affect tax or procurement.
- Target year is 2027-28, with later years shown separately.
Affected population
- Unit is organisations and remuneration, not jobs.
- Existing reporting covers quoted firms with more than 250 UK employees.
- FTSE 100 CEO pay is a scale check only.
- Full affected pay base needs HMRC and company data.
Gross impact
- FTSE 100 CEO excess above 10:1 is roughly £0.4bn before wider executives.
- Central affected high-pay remuneration is scaled to £3.0bn.
- Effective PAYE, employee NI and employer NI loss is £1.80bn.
- Lower-pay rises and corporation tax offset about £0.65bn.
Fiscal build-up, central case
- Lost PAYE and employee NI: +£1.35bn
- Lost employer NI: +£0.45bn
- Corporation tax offset: -£0.35bn
- Bottom-pay tax and benefit offset: -£0.30bn
- Compliance and litigation: +£0.10bn
Central net impact: +£1.2bn in 2027-28.
Behaviour and pass-through
- Low case assumes firms mainly raise bottom pay.
- Central assumes mixed top-pay cuts and avoidance.
- High case assumes relocation and reward redesign.
- Outsourcing low-paid work can weaken the cap.
- Share and partnership income can change receipts.
Phasing
- 2026-27: +£0.2bn. Design and avoidance planning.
- 2027-28: +£1.2bn. First binding year.
- 2028-29: +£1.4bn. Restructuring increases.
- 2029-30: +£1.6bn. Avoidance patterns settle.
Main source groups
- BEIS, "The Companies (Miscellaneous Reporting) Regulations 2018: Q&A" (2018): Quoted companies with more than 250 UK employees already disclose pay ratios; provides the reporting baseline before a binding cap.
- High Pay Centre, "Fat Cat Day 2026" (2026): The High Pay Centre reports median FTSE 100 CEO pay of about £4.4m; sizes executive-pay exposure, but not full-economy remuneration.
- HMRC, "Rates and thresholds for employers 2026 to 2027" (2026): HMRC thresholds define income tax, employee NI, employer NI and statutory-pay recovery; used for tax and statutory-payment offsets.
- Farber, Herbst, Kuziemko and Naidu, "Unions and Inequality Over the Twentieth Century" (Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2021): Unionisation historically reduced wage inequality, partly by compressing pay within and across workplaces; explains who may gain from collective-bargaining reforms.
- DiNardo, Fortin and Lemieux, "Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973-1992" (Econometrica, 1996): Labour-market institutions can compress wage inequality through wage floors and bargaining power; useful for distributional channels, not for claiming free fiscal gains.
- Green Party of England and Wales, "Workers' Charter 2026" (2026): Used to define the pledge wording, policy scope and implementation scenario being modelled.